Category Archives: Investment

The Beauty of Stock Investment


Stock market is one of the world best inventions. It is a place for business owners and entrepreneurs to get funding to expand their already successful business and to fuel their innovations to make the world a better place. It accelerates the growth of great businesses.

Great businesses create the most value and make the best use of resources. The end result is stock market makes everyone richer.

It is also a place where you, as an investor, can find your best investments. It requires relatively little physical work to generate promising returns. This is what makes stock market an attractive destination for investments.

By investing in stocks, you own a piece of the prospering business. You are a business partner, together with thousands of other shareholders, for the business that is run by savvy entrepreneurs or experienced businessmen.

Usually a business owns valuable assets like properties, brand, intellectual properties, products, lands, etc that are worth a lot money. By being a shareholder, you own a part of these assets. It is similar to indirectly buying and owning lands and properties with the exception that you don’t have to manage them yourself (sweet). It is hard to buy (cheap) land nowadays, but it is relatively easy to buy (undervalued) stocks.

I always dream of starting my own business because all of the world richest men own businesses. As most people know it, running a business is very risky especially for someone who has no prior experience. Most businesses fail. However, with the help of stock market, you can be a business owner or owner of multiple businesses at the same time and also at lower risk. As a stock investor, you can get out of a business easily at the first sight of trouble. You can’t do this when you are the actual owner of the business. Worst case, you only lose what you invest in. You get the benefit of being a business owner without bearing the full risk of running a challenging business. It is sometime cheaper to own the stock than actually running the business yourself.

In fact, the more I understand the difficulty of owning and running a business, the more I appreciate stocks.

Inflation is a monster. It eats away your purchasing power. But not with stocks. Your stock investments are hedged against inflation. Businesses raise prices to cope with inflation. They are always ahead of the inflation. In other words, inflation actually protects your investment.

Plants need time to grow, so as businesses. Businesses take time to make profit. Developers take years to construct buildings before they can generate incomes, manufacturers take time to setup their factory for operation and marketing and selling, etc before they can earn. There is no way around these facts. I am not talking about days, weeks or months of hard work but years or even decades of dedicated and consistent hard work from the entrepreneurs to become successful (Entrepreneurs are grittier than the rest of us). Therefore, it is wise to go long term when investing in stock market.

You can’t produce a baby in one month by getting nine women pregnant. – Warren Buffett

$1 can turn into $2000 by investing in the right business. E.G.: if you bought Public Bank since 1967. This is the power of investing in the right business over long term to generate effortless money. The only thing you need is patience. This also means that you don’t have to be constantly checking the business everyday. Hence, you can have a lot of free time to pursue other life goals that matter to you while investing in stocks. Good businesses will take care of themselves.

Your investment return from stocks is directly related to how much the business is making. It is therefore unrealistic to expect exceptional return from the stock market if the business is losing money. Pick companies that are growing and earning more money year over year is the right way to go. It is relatively easy to pick winning stocks than to start my own winning business.

What is the best time to invest in stock market? The best time to invest is when you have the money. The amount of investment does not need to be big to get started. In fact, it does not matter whether you are poor ($ 100) or extremely rich ($ 100 million), you can still invest in the stock market. It can be the best life time hobby that you can have. A hobby that does not require too much of your attention but is still financially rewarding and fun to do.

The best time to invest is when you have the money. – John Templeton

So, do you have the money to invest in the stock market? Are you ready to make your life and those around you richer? Are you ready to change the world for the better?

Cash-Cow PANAMY (3719)

PANAMY (3719) or its full name Panasonic Manufacturing Malaysia Bhd is publicly listed in the Malaysian market in 1966. After 50 years, it is still generating cash like clock-work.

I was surprised that 90 % of its equity is coming from profits. In other words, the shareholders only contribute about 10 % of the capital while the rest is coming from retained earnings. It seems to me that the company is generating more cash faster than it could spend.

Cash is king. – Najib

Its return-on-equity, ROE, is 17 % with no practically no debt. Using the rule of 72, PANAMY could double its assets (mainly cash) in under 5 years without the need to increase its liabilities.

ROE and rule of 72

Example: with a return of 17 %, you could double your capital in less than 5 years (72 / 17 = 4.23 years).

This is equivalent to saying that: If you were the owner who had $ 1 million invested, you were entitled to $ 200 thousand of the earnings each year.

The engine of growth is still on

Its 5-year and 10-year earning growth rates (here is how I calculate earning growth rate) are positive, 9 % and 8 % respectively. These numbers are one of the main reasons for stock to double.

Cash-cow PANAMY: Idiot-proof business

PANAMY's products

PANAMY’s products

PANAMY is an idiot-proof business with well-known brand where you generate more money than you can spend by selling fans, rice cookers, vacuums, etc. In my home at Miri, I found Panasonic products everywhere.

Panasonic at home

Panasonic products at home

It is an ideal stock for retirement. Another good news is, it pays good dividends too at around 4 %.

Final though

Let see if its stock price doubles in 5 years time.

Bubble Bursting

Bubbles Throughout The History

Credit: image source Bubble bursting

Throughout the history, there are countless of bubbles that burst in the financial market causing certain damages to people who were involved. The latest bubble that is happening right now that I am aware of is the oil bubble. And it is bursting.

Oil Price

Oil Price

In order for a bubble to burst, you need to first inflate it. Many people around the world were feeding the inflation of this bubble. They willingly overpaid for this commodity of oil. And these people were from the transport sector.

World Oil Demand by Sector 2012

World Oil Demand by Sector 2012

Why I say people were overpaying for a commodity like oil? Well, if they were not overpaying, then the bubble would not burst in the first place. Things that are not supported by fundamentals will collapse. I really think that people had been fooled buying expensive oil all these years. People had been overpaying for the oil. And people working in the oil industry had been taking unreasonable amount of profit all this while.

To put thing in perspective, the oil price went as low as $10-$20 in 1960s. With all the recent development in technologies and competitions, I wonder how the price of oil could $100 per barrel if it was not a rip-off.

Oil industry was a very lucrative business back in the day before the oil bubble burst. Many people became (multi-)millionaires working in this industry even as normal employees. Those monies were extracted from the people who paid a high premium for using the oil. They were mostly people who drive cars or motorcycles.

Oil Consumers Stuck in a Heavy Traffic Jam

Oil Consumers Stuck in a Heavy Traffic Jam

I personally don’t drive because car is fundamentally not efficient. Private vehicle is causing a lot of troubles like losing time finding car park, stuck in traffic jams, high maintenance cost, unoccupied car when not used, inefficient fuel consumption, wasted land for roads and car parks, etc. Most importantly, the oil price was “too-expensive”.

Sharing economy is more efficient. Therefore I like public transports a lot. I am also looking forward for the future driver-less car. But that is another story.

Most of the oil exporting countries are very, very rich (but not Malaysia even though we have oil supply, I wonder why). They can build world-class luxury hotels simply by producing oil. This is insane if you think about it. How can oil create so much value? I think, it is driven by madness.

The World's Most Luxurious Hotel

The World’s Most Luxurious Hotel

Bubbles throughout the history

Looking into the history, there is no shortage of madness.

Housing bubble 2007-2009

U.S. National Home Price Index

U.S. National Home Price Index

Dot-com bubble 2000-2003

Nasdaq Composite: dot-com bubble

Nasdaq Composite: dot-com bubble

Bubble is not a recent invention because there were mad people in the past too.

South Sea bubble 1720-1721

South Sea Bubble

South Sea Bubble

Even the great physicist, Sir Isaac Newton, could not get away from this South Sea madness.

I can calculate the movement of the stars, but not the madness of men. – Sir Isaac Newton

Tulip mania 1636-1637

Tulip Price Index

Tulip Price Index

Gold bubble 1492

Gold Bubble

Gold Bubble

Final thought

To be mad is human. I hereby predict that bubbles will continue to emerge in the future and the cycle will repeat indefinitely unless we are no longer human. By then, we could call ourselves superhuman.

To be a superhuman, I think one of the things you need to do is: do not buy something that you think is overpriced like a cup of Starbuck coffee (unless you are staying for whole day at Starbuck to reduce the overall cost over time). This is to avoid inflating another bubble that is going to burst.

Of course that will be almost impossible to do (never overpay for something). Instead, I think a more feasible way is to try to reduce the number of times you overpay like going less to Starbuck. Or if the oil was expensive, drive less. Overtime the bubble created would be smaller and thus having a much smaller impact if burst.